Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001089 0.001126 0.001163 0.001204 0.001248 0.001293 0.001343
2025-08-24 0.001005 0.001058 0.001114 0.001176 0.001245 0.001319 0.001404
2025-08-31 0.000965 0.001031 0.001102 0.001185 0.001278 0.001383 0.001508
2025-09-07 0.000927 0.001003 0.001086 0.001184 0.001300 0.001432 0.001598
2025-09-14 0.000889 0.000970 0.001062 0.001173 0.001306 0.001462 0.001663
2025-09-21 0.000854 0.000940 0.001037 0.001158 0.001305 0.001482 0.001717
2025-09-28 0.000827 0.000917 0.001020 0.001150 0.001311 0.001510 0.001780
2025-10-05 0.000789 0.000879 0.000984 0.001117 0.001284 0.001493 0.001783
2025-10-12 0.000768 0.000861 0.000969 0.001109 0.001287 0.001514 0.001837
2025-10-19 0.000754 0.000849 0.000962 0.001109 0.001301 0.001549 0.001912
2025-10-26 0.000735 0.000832 0.000948 0.001101 0.001301 0.001566 0.001961
2025-11-02 0.000723 0.000823 0.000943 0.001102 0.001314 0.001600 0.002037
2025-11-09 0.000708 0.000809 0.000931 0.001096 0.001318 0.001622 0.002097
2025-11-16 0.000692 0.000793 0.000917 0.001086 0.001316 0.001635 0.002145
2025-11-23 0.000687 0.000792 0.000922 0.001100 0.001348 0.001699 0.002278
2025-11-30 0.000678 0.000785 0.000919 0.001104 0.001364 0.001741 0.002379
2025-12-07 0.000665 0.000772 0.000907 0.001095 0.001363 0.001755 0.002435
2025-12-14 0.000651 0.000758 0.000893 0.001082 0.001355 0.001760 0.002473
2025-12-21 0.000640 0.000747 0.000883 0.001076 0.001356 0.001777 0.002534
2025-12-28 0.000620 0.000725 0.000858 0.001046 0.001321 0.001737 0.002490
2026-01-04 0.000610 0.000714 0.000848 0.001039 0.001320 0.001750 0.002543
2026-01-11 0.000603 0.000709 0.000845 0.001040 0.001331 0.001781 0.002635
2026-01-18 0.000593 0.000699 0.000835 0.001032 0.001328 0.001791 0.002684